Last time we talked about potential
sellers in this upcoming years trade market. Where there are sellers there has to be buyers. Then there are the on lookers, the people
that look at what’s happening with the other teams and gauges the potential
outcomes to see if they need to make a last minute upgrade or move to counter a
move. The buyers market is a lot
harder to guess now and days for 1 simple fact, many teams don’t want to give
up the good prospects for the known quantity anymore. Look at the Yankees as an example, for years they would look
at the far system as a tool to trade away and get players that they thought
would help them now. But more
importantly look for players that they know what there are getting, trading for
Ichiro Sasuki for instance is that kind of trade. Now and days with the birth of the new way of thinking about
statistics, more importantly sabermetric, has also brought a new way of
thinking about prospects. Teams
are more likely to take a risk on a guy like Matt Harvey or Jose Fernandez and
pass on acquiring the known quantity of guys like Cliff Lee and Bud Norris.
The
new ideas on prospects haven’t changed the game entirely just in the way the
general managers look at the guys they have on the farm. If a team thinks that acquiring Cliff
Lee is the best way to win now then the team is most likely going to jump at
the chance. With this in mind lets
take a look at the potential buyers in this upcoming trade deadline. Note that this can change very quickly,
many of the teams I list may never be in contention or could just fall out
before the deadline.
1)
Anaheim Angels- this will all depend on how the
Angels bounce back from such a disappointing season so far. The main weakness has been the pitching
and unlike last year the problems are not just in the bullpen. Weak starters are costing the Angels
big time. I don’t see them going
after any position players per say but it can happen if Jerry Dipoto, the
Angels GM, decides to just go for broke and have a pure offensive team and forgoes
pitching all together. I can see
them making a play at Jeremy Hellickson if the Rays become sellers as I
mentioned before. One downside is
the Angels have the worst farm system in the league. Any sort of trade will cost them whatever talent they have
left.
2)
Los Angeles Dodgers- along the same lines as the
Angels comes the other LA team with the Dodgers looking to be buyers. While their needs aren’t as clear yet
as the Angels the Dodgers do need help.
The bullpen has become a liability as of late and that come make them
consider guys like Steve Cishek or Fernando Rodney to try and bolster the
pen. They could also make a play
at Hellickson but I don’t think the Dodgers feel that starting pitching is as much
of a need as bullpen help could be.
I don’t see them making a play at position players at the moment, baring
any more injuries.
3)
Cleveland Indians and Pittsburg Pirates- I’m
kind of cheating here putting 2 teams in the same spot but both these guys have
similar situations. Neither teams
are guaranteed to make the playoffs; they may not even be in contention by the
trade deadline. But if they are in
the mix I can see both teams looking to sure up any weak links they can get
cheaply. Bullpen, starters,
position players and bench players all of them would be on the radar. I don’t expect to see these teams
during the deadline make any big moves but stranger things have happened.
4)
New York Yankees- the team is good and I can
only see then making moves for 1 reason, injuries. If they can stay healthy I don’t see them needing to find
people to trade for. With the
Yankees trying to get younger and work the farm system like other teams have it
makes little sense that they would start trading top talent unless they had no
choice.
5)
San Francisco Giants- this team could be one
that goes for broke looking for a bat or pitcher. If their pitching can get itself back on track they could
focus on getting a good hitter to try and add some power. They could make a play for Chase Utley
if he truly goes on the market. He
seems to be a good fit; good defense and a guy that could help get runs
across. When you’re on the Giants
homerun power doesn’t have the same value, double and gap power is more
valuable to them and that’s what Utley can bring. Depending on the way the pitching shapes out look for them
to make a play at someone.
6)
Texas Rangers- Pure and simple on this one. They have the best farm system in the
league and they have 1 thing that no other team can offer, Jurickson
Profar. He’s the #1 prospect in
all of baseball and the Rangers don’t need him; with Elvis Andurs and Ian
Kinsler at SS and 2nd base respectively they don’t need Profar and
can use him to get any player on the market they want. David Price and Giancalo Stanton are
rumored to be the main targets for them.
As with the
sellers list this is in no way set in stone, teams will come in and out of
contention between now and the deadline.
The idea of these posts was to give you an idea of what could happen
and, if it does happen, could be possible reasons to the team’s decisions.
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