Wednesday, February 26, 2014

First Look: NL Central

First Look-NL Central
Chicago Cubs:
Pitching: Where do I start with this teams pitching staff?  There are some shining points to this rotation with Jeff Samardzija and Travis Wood but neither would be better than a 3rd starter on other teams though both are very competent pitchers.  Jason Hammel is a decent pitcher but much like Samardzija and Wood’s he’s a 3rd or 4th starter on other teams.  After these 3 though its just bad with Edwin Jackson, a pitcher who’s seen better days, and a battle for the fifth spot between spot starters.  The bullpen is just as bad, actually its worse.  Again they have talent in Jason Veras as their closer and as good as he is Veras isn’t a closer on most teams.  Pedro Strop has talent but last year wasn’t his best season and if he can have a bounce back season he could be a future closer, he has shown the talent to do so.  Overall this teams staff is bad, I mean very bad.  There’s not much that this team can do to improve its staff but with a team this bad a bright future through the draft is in the future.
Batting-As bad as the pitching is the batting is way worse, there are 3 guys that are even not worthy.  Josh Vitters is a young prospect that has talent and if he can capitalize on that potential he could be a great hitter one day.  Anthony Rizzo has shown himself to be a legitimate power threat in the majors.  Rizzo needs to learn to take a walk and lower that strike out rate down he could be a perennial 30 HR guy but he doesn’t have the ability to hit for a high AVG. but he can hit about .260-.265.  Starlin Castro is a mystery as to what he will be next year, he has talent but lacks focus and that causes laps in his defense and not concentrating at the plate.  He’s not a power hitter but could hit 10-13 in a year and if he stays focused he could be a .300 hitter.  Overall this team has massive holes but like the pitching they do have the luxury of being one of the worst teams meaning they’ll have a high draft spot.
Milwaukee Brewers:
Pitching- There are good pitchers here but there isn’t a lot of them.  Kyle Loshe and Matt Garza lead the way as the best of the bunch and they are good pitchers.  Garza is a number 3 pitcher but has number 2 talent when he’s pitching well.  Loshe is pretty much the same pitcher as Garza, a 3rd starter but with 2nd starter talent when he’s on.  After that it’s a quick fall with Marco Estrada, was a big sleeper pick last year to have a decent season and he did but Estrada is a 4th starter nothing more.  Rounding out the top 4 we have Yovani Gallardo and what a fall from grace its been for him, once thought as a top ace in baseball and now is barely holding his own as a 4th starter.  Declining control over his pitches and a decrease in velocity is a bad sign for any pitcher.  The bullpen actually is pretty talented, not tops but decent.  Jim Henderson was a nice surprise for the team when John Axford lost his control last season and lead the team in saves.  Francisco Rodriguez is a good surprise for the team along with Brandon Kintzler and Tyler Thornburg.  Overall this team has a decent or average staff and a surprising bullpen, could actually give some teams some problems and win a few games.
Batting- They have some problems but a lot of talent too.  Ryan Braun isn’t the same Braun we’ve seen over the years; power is there and his ability to hit for a high average but his speed is gone.  Jean Segura is a dark horse here, if he can pull it together he could be a major star in the majors but he has a lot of work to do staying consistent in hitting for AVG.  Last year ended with him hitting .143 during the second half of the season so that needs to change.  Carlos Gomez is a defensive wizard and is one of the best gloves in the game and can hit for a decent average and slightly above average power.  His speed is game changing in both the field and at bat where he can use that speed to beat out the infield ground ball.  Jonathan Lucroy is a very underrated catcher who’s defense is very solid and his hitting is well above average.  Overall this offense has a lot of potential but it has holes; it needs to have some of the young guns step up and this team could be a problem.
Cincinnati Reds:
Pitching- High talent and a very big strike out club.  Johnny Cueto, Homer Baily and Matt Latos lead this very talented staff and all are very good pitchers.  Cueto has the most talent but injuries have plagued him the last two years limiting his time.  Baily and Latos are both coming into their own and starting to really become the aces they were thought to be.  Mike Leake and Tony Cingrani will battle for the 4th and 5th spot both are deception pitchers and have success fooling batters but they can be hit every once in a while.  Bullpen is not as strong as rotation but when you have Aroldis Chapman it’s a good start.  Jonathan Broxtan has seen better years but he is better than most.  Sean Marshall is an underrated pitcher that doesn’t get the credit he deserves as one of baseballs best LHP’s.  Overall the team has a strong staff and decently strong bullpen that is going to give most lineups major trouble.
Batting- This lineup is major power but also lacks consistent OBP and AVG guys to supplement that power.  Jay Bruce and Brandon Phillips are the main face of this problem.  Bruce has improved over time but he’s still not a big AVG or OBP guy; he’s improved his skill but still needs work.  Phillips skills are starting to decline over time and now it’s getting pretty bad now, his age is making it so he isn’t improving any time soon.  Joey Votto is defiantly the best play on his team though he isn’t the power hitting type that we thought a few years back but he’s the best overall hitter on the team.  The rest of the team has similar skills to Phillips, has some power but cant take a walk.  Overall this is a dangerous lineup but it can be limited with good pitching.
Pittsburg Pirates:
Pitching- Last year this team won with pitching and I don’t see this changing that much this year.  Losing AJ Burrnett is a blow but with Gerrit Cole showing himself to be a potential ace for this team in the near future; being young is going to be his big challenge since he doesn’t have much experience.  They will also need a repeat performance from Francisco Liriano if they want to succeed and I personally think that’s a lot to ask but he proved he could do it last year so we shall see.  Wandy Rodriguez has come a long way from being a Astros rookie to now a very stable 3rd or 4th starter but much like Liriano they will need him to pick up the slack of losing Burrnett.  Charlie Morton and Jeff Locke won’t kill them but they aren’t going to become lynch pins in this rotation.  The bullpen is quite strong headed by stellar vet Jason Grilli who finally got his chance to close and ran with it.  While his stats do lean towards the luck side he is still a very good pitcher.  Vin Mazzaro and Mark Melancon were good surprises for this team since both have come into their own and have become essential parts of this bullpen.  Overall this is a good staff but a good 3rd starter is needed I think and 1 more good bullpen are would sure it up.
Batting- This team has a ton of power bats and balances it with good OBP guys.  Andrew McCutchen is a MVP player and is one of the top 5 players in the game and is a major 5-tool player.  Pedro Alvarez is a legit 40 HR guy but isn’t much of a AVG or OBP player; if he could hit .250 this year he could be an major threat.  Sterling Marte is an interesting player just to see what he becomes this year.  He needs to be able to take a walk and hit a bit more consistently to become an above average OF.  Neil Walker and Russell Martian are good OBP players and really balance out the players like Alvarez.  Overall this team is very balanced in hitting and could be a major player for a playoff spot this year.
St. Louis Cardinals:
Pitching- What can I say about this staff?  Really its very tough since all of them are so good!  Adam Wainwright is the ace of this staff and that’s a big accomplishment considering this is a team that also has Michael Wacha in the minors and he is a legit ace in the making.  Shelby Miller proved himself to be a fantastic pitcher last year but the season proved to long for him and he seemed to drop off, not worried at all about that and look for him to be the 2nd pitcher on the staff.  Jaime Garcia and Lance Lynn will once again provide good inning eating and be very solid pitchers for this team.  The bullpen I just as strong as the rotation if not stronger; Trevor Rosenthal really showed himself and now took over the closer role from Jason Motte who got hurt last year but is back and will really help stabilize this bullpen.  Carlos Martinez and Kevin Siegrist are both very talented pitchers and add more strength to this already strong bullpen.  Overall this could be the best in the majors, the only thing to watch for is health, which many of these pitchers get hurt often, and age since this is a young staff.

Batting- This is a very balanced lineup full of players that can hit for power and average.  Losing Carlos Beltran will sting a bit but Matt Holliday will lead this team with his very solid bat and still hit about 25 HR’s and have a .290 AVG to boot.  Matt Adams will get his chance to play 1B this year and try and prove his talent with top prospect Oscar Taveras waiting for his chance to take over and run away with the position.  Allen Craig will most likely head back to RF and join what looks like a very strong OF with Peter Bourjos taking over CF.  Matt Carpenter and Yadier Molina looks to build on their fantastic seasons last year and with Jhonny Peralta taking over SS this team’s infield gets a big boost at the plate.  Overall this is one of the best lineups in the league and arguably the majors, they should easily make it to the playoffs if all goes well.

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