Wednesday, October 23, 2013

2014 Season Awards

2014 Season Awards
            Well the season is over and the World Series between the Cardinals and Red Sox begins today.  This is an exciting time of year in the baseball world and personally I’ve enjoyed the playoffs a lot.  But that’s not what I’m going to talk about today, it’s that time of the year to look at the end of the season awards and my picks for MVP Cy Young and the rest.
American League
MVP- Miguel Cabrera- This is a harder choice than you may expect depending on what stats you look at.  His slash line is the best in baseball and his ability with the bat is starting to become legendary.  With that said his defense is bad just plain bad, he’s not the worst but he is pretty bad.  This is why his WAR or Wins Above Replacement is only 7.2, when I say 7.2 realize that this is an amazing WAR, which puts him 4th overall in WAR for the American League.  Trout, Donaldson and Cano are the only guys above him and of those players only Trout in my mind would challenge Cabrera.  In the end the question is simply “who was the most important to his team?”  Angels didn’t make the playoffs and the Tigers did Cabrera was a massive part of that.
Cy Young-Max Scherzer- Wins mean nothing to me, nothing at all.  A pitcher with a lot of wins tells me nothing of his skills and how his season was.  I say this because I didn’t choose Scherzer because of an impressive 21 win season I choose him for an amazing K/9 (10.88) and K/BB (4.29) that really stand out.  Scherzer was able to keep the BB’s down this year which is been his problem since he as a rookie.  He was also able to limit the hits that teams had on him holding opponents to a BAA of .198, very impressive.  There are things to me that throw up a red flare that his isn’t going to happen (to this extent) next year but for now it looks like Max just turned the corner on his career.
Rookie of the Year-Wil Myers- The AL didn’t really have that many strong Rookies this year but Wil Myers is defiantly the cream of the crop, ending the season with a slash line of .293/.354/.478 is not just impressive for a rookie but a major leaguer in general.  He’s still got a lot of weak areas to iron out but he’s shown the skill to do it.
National League
MVP- Andrew McCutchen- This was a tough call between Paul Goldschmidt but much like with Cabrera the final thing I judge on is the fact that the Pirates got to the playoffs.  Not to say McCutchen didn’t have a great season, he ranked 2nd overall in WAR only to Carlos Gomez and that’s mostly due to Gomez’s defense.  An impressive BB/9 and a good K/9 makes him a great player and will be for a few more years.
Cy Young- Clayton Kershaw- ya this isn’t a surprise.  Best pitcher in the NL and easily one of the best, if not THE best pitcher, in the game today.  I’m not sure what I can add to say how good this guy is.  An amazing K/9 and the ability to not give up BB make him solid and easily the best pitcher in the NL.
Rookie of the Year- Jose Fernandez- This is one of the best surprises of the year and to me had a better much stronger season then Puig.  If you want to see more about him you can read my scouting report on him here. http://calltothepen05.blogspot.com/2013/09/scouting-report-jose-fernandez.html

Biggest Surprise- Pittsburg Pirates- I was very skeptical of this team from the beginning since they have shown the talent to do what they did this year for 3 years now.  But till this year they always fell apart just before the playoffs and fell apart after the All Star break.  This year they survived on solid pitching and amazing relief pitching lead by Jason Grilli and Mark Melancon.  We can only hope that his team can keep this up and be a team to watch for years to come.

Biggest Disappointment- Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim- These teams come in a tie for most disappointing mostly for the same reason but got there differently.  The Nationals actually started to make a comeback at the end of the season but just fell short of the playoffs.  The team actually could make a run next year and I still put them up there next year.  As for the Angels, I just expected so much more.  I expected them to be at least competitive with the other teams but they only showed it once in a while.  This is still a team that has promise and as long as they have Trout and Pujols playing well they can still be a great team.  They need hitting help though, Pujol’s and Hamilton’s production is going down and they need to find help that is cheap.  They also need to find pitching help, both bullpen and rotation are weak.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Playoff Recap: Round 2

Playoff Recap- Round 2
            We had quite the oddities in this year ALCS and NLCS haven’t we.  Boston and Detroit were 2 favorites heading to the playoffs and so were LA and St. Louis.  All 4 teams were actually in the tops of a lot of categories leading to the playoffs; one of the few times I’ve seen that the top teams were in the 2nd round all together.  Well without delay lets look at what happened during the series.

Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers- This was the battle of the best teams in the AL to be sure.  The only team that topped Boston in offensive categories was in fact Detroit so this had the potential to be a brawl, and neither team disappointed.  The pitching for both teams were spectacular, both teams ERA’s combined not topping 3.00 (2.91 to be exact).  What it came down to was the offense of both teams and who could get it done.  Pitching can win you a series but you can’t win 0-0, and this is where both teams struggled.  In fact Boston actually had a worse overall stat line than Detroit did this includes pitching.  In the end Boston’s bullpen and timely hits did just enough to topple the Tigers who’s defense ended up being just not up to the task of taking on Boston.
Boston Red Sox: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.202
.180
.256
.332
.588
.198
.289
80%
27%
6%
4.7

Pitching
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.06
1.28
3.06
4.7
2.0
2.3
1.45
4%

Detroit Tigers: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.255
.260
.324
.332
.656
.229
.358
100%
20%
8%
2.3

Pitching
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
2.77
1.10
2.37
8.1
2.0
4.1
1.08
10%

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers- Another series that pitted the best of the NL against each other and was one I watched very closely.  The Dodgers, much like Detroit, beat St. Louis in all the categories statistically.  Unlike Detroit and Boston though St. Louis won most of the pitching stats and was overall more dominate on the mound than LA.  LA was also unable to really capitalize on RISP, which is one of many factors to consider, the other major thing to consider is the bad defense of the Dodgers.  The team isn’t a bad defensive team but when it really counted the team seemed to make very simple errors that cost them runs.  Puig showed his inexperience many times and really did give the Cardinals a few more R’s than they should have had.  In the end St. Louis just hit when it counted and made sure that LA’s bats didn’t start anything.
St. Louis Cardinals: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.211
.349
.277
.302
.579
.200
.310
100%
23%
8%
2.8

Pitching
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
2.09
0.95
2.80
5.6
1.2
4.5
1.47
7%

Los Angeles Dodgers: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.211
.200
.252
.337
.589
.198
.284
100%
24%
5%
4.5

Pitching

ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.27
1.09
2.71
5.6
2.0
2.8
1.30
4%

Friday, October 11, 2013

Playoff Recap: Round 1

Playoff Recap
            Well it’s the most exciting time of the year for us baseball fans and so far the playoffs haven’t disappointed yet.  Lets take a look on how the teams did in this years playoffs and recap the good and bad.
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers- The reason the Dodgers won this series is very clear, the Braves had an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.71 in 4 games.  The Dodgers hitting was just unstoppable from the get go.  The Braves hitting didn’t show up either which made it easy pickings for the Dodgers; it doesn’t help that the Braves had a K% in the series of nearly 30%.  I did predict that the Dodgers would end up winning this series but this was not what I expected.  The Braves really never made this competitive, sad end to a team that was just so hot in the beginning of the year.
Here are the stats for the series:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Hitting
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.333
.386
.572
.958
.317
.446
67%
23%
9
2.9
RISP

.317


Pitching
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.09
1.20
2.19
4.7
1.6
3.0
2.3
6%

Atlanta Braves: Hitting
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.219
.290
.275
.564
.199
.365
0%
29%
10%
3.0
RISP

.265


Pitching
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
5.82
1.71
4.02
3.9
1.3
2.9
1.8
22%

Pittsburg Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: This was a great series and was quite a surprise to me.  I honestly thought this was going to be a 3 game series and the Cardinals looked like they were going to just run with it after game one.  But the Pirates fought and made it a 5 game series mainly do to strong pitching but the rookie Garret Cole and a strong relief staff.  But in the end the Cardinals were able to hang on with some amazing pitching.  Now I just want to make this clear; I’m posting the stats again but the Pirates stats are including the 1 game playoff with the Reds so keep that in mind.
Pittsburg Pirates: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.238
.276
.297
.386
.683
.230
.309
50%
20%
8%
2.5

Pitching:
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.63
1.10
4.50
4.1
2.0
2.1
2.0
18%

St. Louis Cardinals: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.209
.192
.294
.386
.680
.229
.252
100%
18%
10%
1.8

Pitching:
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
2.62
1.02
3.11
4.4
1.6
2.9
1.5
9%

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: This, much like the Pirates and Cardinals series, lasted longer than I expected.  The Red Sox were just dominate from day one and honestly thought the series was over when the Sox, for a lack of better term, dominated David Price.  But the Rays fought back the next game to take game 3 with a walk off HR, but just couldn’t beat the titan that is the Red Sox in the next game.  Boston looks just terrifying to say the least.
Boston Red Sox: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.336
.375
.442
.478
.920
.318
.621
80%
22%
13%
1.7

Pitching:
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.07
1.14
3.73
3.7
1.2
3.0
0.8
10%

Tampa Bay Rays: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.227
.189
.294
.356
.650
.220
.317
50%
25%
7%
3.4

Pitching:
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
5.02
1.58
3.41
4.7
2.3
2.0
1.07
4%

Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland A’s: Yet another series that could have ended quickly but this time opposite of what most people probably expected.  The A’s were not a hitting team during the year; they won with pitching and defense with timely hitting thrown in.  Detroit is the powerhouse leading every offensive “counting” stat out there.  This series showed both teams at their best and worst in some cases; the inability to hit was the downfall for the A’s in the end and the defense and suprising lack of hitting could have lead to the Tigers.  In the end the bats of the Tigers were just too much for a A’s pitching staff that, to be honest, disappointed this post season.
Detroit Tigers: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.235
.364
.295
.361
.616
.213
.321
0%
22%
7%
4.2

Pitching:
ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
2.86
1.14
2.04
6.3
1.6
4.3
.79
5%

Oakland A’s: Hitting
AVG
RISP
OBP
SLG
OPS
GPA
BABIP
SB%
K%
BB%
K/BB
.217
.128
.276
.380
.656
.219
.344
100%
32%
8%
4.1

Pitching:

ERA
WHIP
FIP
K/9
BB/9
K/BB
GB/FB
HR/FB
3.48
1.16
3.20
4.2
1.4
2.9
1.38
8%